Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.160951 0.172264 0.184084 0.197378 0.211939 0.227432 0.245201
2025-12-28 0.139947 0.156240 0.174224 0.195646 0.220596 0.248898 0.283651
2026-01-04 0.129838 0.149095 0.171150 0.198482 0.231728 0.271221 0.322241
2026-01-11 0.120366 0.141235 0.165826 0.197264 0.236848 0.285672 0.351454
2026-01-18 0.112198 0.134009 0.160326 0.194857 0.239635 0.296685 0.376442
2026-01-25 0.104954 0.127263 0.154729 0.191588 0.240629 0.304926 0.397851
2026-02-01 0.101746 0.125254 0.154792 0.195350 0.250758 0.325610 0.437658
2026-02-08 0.096633 0.120432 0.150837 0.193380 0.252795 0.335107 0.462080
2026-02-15 0.092798 0.117016 0.148450 0.193243 0.257155 0.347918 0.492179
2026-02-22 0.088047 0.112112 0.143766 0.189567 0.256115 0.352647 0.510110
2026-03-01 0.084741 0.108969 0.141266 0.188733 0.259002 0.363197 0.537840
2026-03-08 0.082321 0.106894 0.140094 0.189659 0.264429 0.377816 0.573279
2026-03-15 0.078743 0.103106 0.136401 0.186783 0.264045 0.383539 0.594727
2026-03-22 0.075867 0.100178 0.133791 0.185357 0.265773 0.392699 0.622934
2026-03-29 0.074439 0.099218 0.133924 0.187995 0.273940 0.412780 0.672319
2026-04-05 0.072011 0.096715 0.131683 0.186859 0.275949 0.422685 0.704038
2026-04-12 0.069434 0.093891 0.128838 0.184615 0.275969 0.429121 0.729741
2026-04-19 0.066800 0.090884 0.125593 0.181566 0.274440 0.432688 0.750130
2026-04-26 0.066067 0.090641 0.126470 0.185075 0.284078 0.456630 0.813518
2026-05-03 0.064002 0.088334 0.124112 0.183238 0.284435 0.463767 0.843207
2026-05-10 0.062479 0.086787 0.122850 0.183110 0.287719 0.476482 0.885991
2026-05-17 0.060239 0.084077 0.119684 0.179680 0.284954 0.477560 0.903541
2026-05-24 0.058743 0.082454 0.118153 0.178902 0.286868 0.487694 0.942319